Challenging the Narrative: Why ‘High Risk’ Doesn’t Always Mean What You Think
Geopolitical volatility is keeping us all on our toes. We are seeing political fragmentation and polarisation in the West, a tightening affiliation of authoritarian regimes including Russia, Iran, China and North Korea, and conflicts involving multiple parties in Ukraine, Gaza, and Sudan to name a few. That’s before we even mention tariffs.
And with that comes a long list of risks. Sanctions risks have been top of the agenda since the conflict in Ukraine started in February 2022.
By
David Phillips, CT Group
Published
29 May 2025

Director of CT Group, David Phillips, shares his experiences on the treatment of clients classified as ‘high risk’

Geopolitical volatility is keeping us all on our toes. We are seeing political fragmentation and polarisation in the West, a tightening affiliation of authoritarian regimes including Russia, Iran, China and North Korea, and conflicts involving multiple parties in Ukraine, Gaza, and Sudan to name a few. That’s before we even mention tariffs.
And with that comes a long list of risks. Sanctions risks have been top of the agenda since the conflict in Ukraine started in February 2022. Companies have also become wary of issues in their supply chain, especially violations of labour laws or dealing with conflict minerals. And rightly so – severe penalties have included seizure of assets, revocation of licences, fines, and even imprisonment. Regulation continues to tighten, with the UK’s Economic Crime and Corporate Transparency Act (ECCTA) coming into force in September 2025, which will hold organisations criminally liable in certain circumstances for failing to prevent fraud. It is not something that companies can afford to get wrong.
However, the easy option is to avoid as much risk as possible by applying broad brush assumptions. We have seen wealth managers exit entire parts of continents (not even specific countries) because of perceived client risks, and numerous financial institutions discontinuing relationships after the emergence of an adverse media article, a legal case, a complex corporate structure, or sometimes simply because of a client’s nationality despite having a relationship with that institution for a number of years.
This reactive approach, while understandable in a climate of heightened scrutiny, often fails to distinguish between genuine risk and superficial red flags. A blanket risk-avoidance strategy may reduce immediate exposure, but it can also lead to missed opportunities, unnecessary financial losses, and reputational damage for institutions that disengage hastily. The reality is that risk cannot be eliminated entirely. Instead, it must be managed intelligently, using thorough due diligence and context-driven assessment rather than reliance on assumptions and rigid categorisation.
Challenging Assumptions
